Driverless Car Adoption Will Be Slow

I am very interested in driverless cars. I think traffic will move faster and more smoothly with them than without. A big problem for today’s cars on busy streets and highways is when cars entering an on-ramp start braking. When that first car brakes, it starts a chain reaction of glacial traffic movement. Combine on-ramp braking with off-ramp traffic mergers and you get more braking that sustain glacial traffic congestion.

Driverless cars can solve that. Vehicles would merge lanes at a sustained speed in synchronous order. The reduction or elimination of braking would spur fluid and continuous traffic flows. The result is you arrive at your destination earlier.

That is one of the big promises of driverless cars. The catch is writing software for a car in which the safety of people are on the line, in real-time, is different than writing programs to be shown on a computer monitor.

Nearly all who write programs produce bugs when engaged in the task. Eventually, the flaws are smoothed away, but the next time the software is enhanced, new bugs may appear.

Operating systems like Android, iOS, Windowd and others need “patches” all the time. Most operating systems over the past 20 years has required patches every year for 20+ years. As the flaws in the systems for driverless cars diminish, confidence in them will improve. Will that be 20 years? I suppose we wait and see.

Meanwhile, it is good advances are being made. It will improve the overall conditions for transportation. Tesla cars are changing the design of vehicles in an appealing way. The cars of the future definitely have much to offer.


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