Thoughts on the Slowdown of Moore’s Law

Intel chips provide a very good solution for laptop, desktop, and server technology. The desktop version of the 6th generation Intel reviewed on Ars Technica comes with great screenshots of nice ASUS motherboards and M.2 Samsung SSD storage. The article discusses many favorable things regarding the 6th generation Intel processors and is a good starting point to see the continued advances in a certain area of technology.

I think consumer and corporate level information technology may take a turn because of the way hardware is evolving.

Moore’s law seems to be slowing down but that will matter little in the long-term. Flash memory development also seems to be headed for its own decline but with plenty of advances still to come. True multi-dimensional data processing is the future in my view, but it that is a very, very long ways off. Many failed experiments or premature announcements along those lines but it is a concept with great promise.

Ultra high-resolution display technology that can produce a true optical 3D output without glasses is also a long, long time away but seems to me to be the inevitable outcome of increasing pixel density beyond what people can perceive. Today’s 4K resolutions are only a small step. Likewise, SSD drives are improving things considerably and evolving so fast that a radically updated computer architecture that merge processor and storage seems very likely in a couple of years. HP’s Machine Concept may happen automatically.

Often, technology proceeds incrementally. In the near future, processors like the Intel Core M and ARM will be the wise choice. Low power processors move us closer to a better mobile computing experience. Lest we miss high power processing, few of us have demanding uses for a computer in reality. High power is needed more in niche situations involving intense databases, intense video editing, intense engineering modeling, science, large data processing. The key guide is the extensive nature of the processing. Those high-powered scenarios can be addressed preferably through Intel Xeon which perform better and have the most robust features. Intel i7 and i5 to a lesser extent to gain similar capabilities in a mobile format. The more common scenarios benefit more from an energy friendly configuration that runs longer and costs less to operate.

While the transition ensues, software running on genuine mobile devices and low power systems will need to be designed to use resources more efficiently. That will cause software to become less bloated and more internally streamlined. People who write software can no longer assume a hardware upgrade will address matters of run time performance. In some cases, an upgrade will show little gained. As a result software itself will have to be better optimized for either a smaller or fixed operational footprint. Data organization and code.

The reports of investment in new technology approaches that unify memory and storage appears to be an alternative to the current approach. A design in which the computer processor sits in the middle of a persistent memory construct means several things. First, you get closer to the idea of an endless tape described by Alan Turing. Second, processors no longer take on the burden of performance. It becomes a more distributed matter as it is in reality. Third, updating storage may extend the value of an overall hardware package in terms of longevity and performance. Things are not quite at this stage, but it is getting close.


Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in: Logo

You are commenting using your account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s